.
-as of [21 APRIL 2024]–
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*the [2024 united states presidential election] will be the [60th quadrennial presidential election], scheduled for [5 november 2024]-
.
.
It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are redistributed according to the post–2020 census reapportionment.
Incumbent president Joe Biden has stated that he intends to run for reelection to a second term, although he hasn’t made it official yet if he will run.[2]
In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees.
The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.
Background
Procedure
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party’s delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party’s behalf. The presidential nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party’s ticket, which is then ratified by the delegates at the party’s convention.
Similarly, the general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.[3] If no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, a contingent election will be held in which the House of Representatives will select the president from the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, and the Senate will select the vice president from the candidates who received the two highest totals. The presidential election will occur simultaneously with House of Representatives elections, Senate elections, and various state and local-level elections.
Effects of the 2020 census
The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census.[4][5] This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States Census.[6]
The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where Congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have bipartisan or nonpartisan redistricting commissions). The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections.[7] In 2020, although its nominee Joe Biden won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This will allow the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire,[8][9] potentially leading to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 Census.[9][10][11]
Campaign issues
COVID-19 pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic, which, as of October 2021, has killed over 740,000 people in the United States (more than 1 in 430 Americans),[12] has had significant economic and societal effects which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility of governors in fighting the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage senators have had in recent cycles.[13]
Candidates
Democratic Party
Democrat Joe Biden is the incumbent president, elected for his first term in office in the 2020 election, and has stated he intends to run for reelection for a second term in 2024, although he hasn’t made it official yet if he will run. He is the oldest person to assume the office, at age 78, and would be 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of his second term, if reelected.
Potential candidates
As of October 2021, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Speculation about Vice President Kamala Harris has been discussed in the context of President Biden not seeking re-election.[14]
Joe Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021–present); 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017); United States Senator from Delaware (1973–2009), New Castle County Councillor for District 4 (1971–1973); Democratic Party candidate for president in 1988 and 2008[15][16]
Pete Buttigieg, 19th United States Secretary of Transportation (2021–present); 32nd Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020); candidate for president in 2020[17][18]
Kamala Harris, 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–present); United States Senator from California (2017–2021), 32nd Attorney General of California (2011–2017); 27th District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011); candidate for president in 2020[14][18]
Declined to be candidates
The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.
Andrew Cuomo, 56th Governor of New York (2011–2021); 64th Attorney General of New York (2007–2010), 11th United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (1997–2001), Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development (1993–1997)[19][20]
Gavin Newsom, 40th Governor of California (2019–present); 49th Lieutenant Governor of California (2011–2019); 42nd Mayor of San Francisco (2004–2011)[21][22]
Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States (2009–2017)[23][24]
Bernie Sanders, United States Senator from Vermont (2007–present); United States Representative from Vermont-AL (1991–2007), 37th Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989), candidate for president in 2020 and 2016[25][26]
Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present); candidate for president in 2020[27][28]
Republican Party
Donald Trump was defeated by Joe Biden in 2020 and was impeached by the House of Representatives for the second time. He was acquitted in his second impeachment trial in 2021 by the Senate, and is currently eligible to run again in the 2024 presidential election. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms.[29][30] The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the candidate of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at national conventions subsequent to his leaving office in 1933.
Publicly expressed interest
As of October 2021, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas (2013–present); candidate for president in 2016[31]
Matt Gaetz, United States Representative from FL-01 (2017–present)[32]
Larry Hogan, 62nd Governor of Maryland (2015–present)[33]
Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021); 50th Governor of Indiana (2013–2017); United States Representative from IN-02 (2001–2003) and IN-06 (2003–2013)[34]
Francis X. Suarez, 43rd Mayor of Miami (2017–present)[35]
Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021); Republican presidential nominee in 2020 and 2016 and Reform Party candidate in 2000[36]
Potential candidates
As of October 2021, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months.
Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present); United States Representative from FL-06 (2013–2018)[37][38]
Geoff Duncan, 12th Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2019-present); Member of the Georgia House of Representatives from the 26th district (2013–2017)[39][40]
Marjorie Taylor Greene, United States Representative from GA-14 (2021–present)[41][42]
Marco Rubio, United States Senator from Florida (2011–present); candidate for president in 2016[43][44]
Donald Trump Jr., businessman and eldest son of former president Donald Trump[45][46]
Declined to be candidates
The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.
Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight (2016–present) and co-founder of The Daily Caller[47][48]
Liz Cheney, United States Representative from WY-AL (2017–present) and daughter of the 46th Vice President of the United States, Dick Cheney[49][50]
Dan Crenshaw, United States Representative from TX-02 (2019–present)[51][52]
Joni Ernst, United States Senator from Iowa (2015–present)[53][54]
Josh Hawley, United States Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[55][56]
Kristi Noem, 33rd Governor of South Dakota (2019–present); United States Representative from SD-AL (2011–2019)[57][58]
Dan Patrick, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Texas (2015–present)[59][60]
Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021); 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), United States Representative from KS-4 (2011–2017)[61][62]
Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019); United States Representative from WI-01 (1999–2019) and 2012 Republican vice-presidential nominee[63][64]
Tim Scott, United States Senator from South Carolina (2013–present); United States Representative from SC-01 (2011–2013), Member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from the 117th district (2009–2011), Member of the Charleston County Council from the 3rd district (1995–2009)[65][66]
Ivanka Trump Kushner, Advisor to the President of the United States (2017–2021); eldest daughter of former president Donald Trump[67][68]
Scott Walker, 45th Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019); 5th Executive of Milwaukee County (2002–2010), member of the Wisconsin State Assembly from the 14th district (1993–2002), candidate for president in 2016[69][70]
Libertarian Party
Publicly expressed interest
As of October 2021, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
Dave Smith, comedian and podcaster from New York[71]
Independents, other third parties, or party unknown
Publicly expressed interest
As of October 2021, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
Kanye West, recording artist, businessman, and fashion designer; independent candidate for president in 2020[72][73]
Primary election polling
Democratic Party
show
Polls without Joe Biden
Republican Party
Nationwide polling
show
Polls with Donald Trump
show
Polls without Donald Trump
Statewide polling
Georgia primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Chris
Christie Ted
Cruz Nikki
Haley Mike
Pence Mitt
Romney Marco
Rubio Donald
Trump Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[cy] – – – – – – – 70% 18%[cz] 12%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7% 1% 5% 3% – 2% 3% 73%[v] 2% –
1% 15% 8% 36% 6% 3% –[da] 7% 24%
Maine primary
Maine’s 2nd congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Ted
Cruz Nikki
Haley Mike
Pence Marco
Rubio Ivanka
Trump Donald
Trump Jr. Other Undecided
January 3, 2023 Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA / FairVote Jun 30 – July 6, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.1% 12% 12% 30% 6% 7% 11% – 21%
North Carolina primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Ted
Cruz Nikki
Haley Mike
Pence Mitt
Romney Marco
Rubio Donald
Trump Other Undecided
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 221 (RV) ± 7% 3% 6% – 3% 2% 76%[v] 5% 6%
9% 9% 48% 9% 3% –[da] 4% 18%
South Carolina primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Donald
Trump Other Undecided
Trafalgar (R) Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 2.99% 64% 11%[db] 25%[dc]
General election polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Donald
Trump
Republican Other/
Undecided
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 19–21, 2021 1,704 (A) – 43% 40% 17%
Echelon Insights Oct 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) – 48% 42% 10%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Oct 17, 2021 1,138 (LV) – 42% 40% 18%
Selzer and Company/Grinnell College Oct 13–17, 2021 745 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 40% 19%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6, 2021 1,150 (LV) – 43% 41% 16%
Echelon Insights Sep 17–23, 2021 1,005 (RV) – 50% 39% 11%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 21–22, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Sep 19–20, 2021 1,137 (LV) – 42% 40% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates Sep 9–14, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 47% 50% 3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Sep 4–5, 2021 1,148 (LV) – 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% 7%
Rasmussen Reports Aug 16–17, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 43% 20%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – Aug 2, 2021 1,552 (A) – 47% 37% 16%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 46% 43% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News June 22–24, 2021 1,592 (A) – 47% 35% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 1,588 (A) – 46% 36% 18%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 1,561 (A) – 48% 36% 16%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,106 (A) – 45% 28% 27%
PMC/John Bolton Super Pac Apr 3–7, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 46% 42% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Ron
DeSantis
Republican Other/
Undecided
Emerson College Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 48% 36% 16%
Echelon Insights April 16–23, 2021 1,043 (RV) – 45% 28% 27%
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,105 (A) – 41% 25% 34%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Nikki
Haley
Republican Other/
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,107 (A) – 44% 19% 37%
Joe Biden vs. Ted Cruz
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Ted
Cruz
Republican Other/
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters April 12–16, 2021 1,105 (A) – 46% 24% 30%
Joe Biden vs. Mitt Romney
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Mitt
Romney
Republican Other/
Undecided
Emerson College Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.7% 42% 23% 35%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Kamala
Harris
Democratic Donald
Trump
Republican Other/
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates Oct 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 46% 49% 4%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 21–22, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 52% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates Sep 9–14, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 47% 49% 4%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – Aug 3, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 46% 49% 5%
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 1,001 (RV) – 47% 40% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 45% 49% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 45% 49% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Kamala
Harris
Democratic Mike
Pence
Republican Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 1,001 (RV) – 45% 36% 19%
Kamala Harris vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Kamala
Harris
Democratic Ron
DeSantis
Republican Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights Apr 16–23, 2021 1,043 (RV) – 43% 31% 26%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Poll source Date Sample
size[a] Margin
of error Joe
Biden
Democratic Donald
Trump
Republican Andrew
Yang
Forward Other/
Undecided
Echelon Insights Oct 15–19, 2021 1,098 (RV) – 44% 40% 5% 11%
Timeline
See also
2024 United States elections
2024 United States Senate elections
Notes
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
^ “Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Biden” as opposed to “Absolute will or likely to vote for Biden” with 22%; Would not vote with 6%
^ “Consider voting for Biden” with 8%; Undecided with 7%
^ Bernie Sanders with 12%; Elizabeth Warren with 8%; Sherrod Brown with 4%
^ Bernie Sanders with 16%; Elizabeth Warren with 6%; Gavin Newsom with 3%; “Someone else”, Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
^ Joe Manchin and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
^ Bernie Sanders with 10%; Elizabeth Warren and Tim Kaine with 6%; Sherrod Brown with 2%
^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
^ Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
^ “Someone else” with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%
^ Tom Cotton And Kristi Noem with 1%
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z Standard VI response
^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%
^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ “Someone else” with 5%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ “Trump should not run again in 2024” as opposed to “Trump should run again in 2024” with 19%
^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
^ “Do not want Trump to run” as opposed to “want Trump to run” with 30%
^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
^ Would not vote with 4%; “Someone else” with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ “Trump should not run again in 2024” as opposed to “Trump should run again in 2024” with 22%
^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
^ “Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump” as opposed to “Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump” with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
^ “Consider voting for Trump” with 8%; Undecided with 4%
^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 1%
^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
^ On whether voters thought they’d support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
^ “Would definitely not vote for Trump” with 16%
^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ “Someone else” with 12%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ Would not vote with 5%; “Someone else” with 3%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[74]
^ Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Ivanka Trump with 1%
^ Listed as “Skipped”
^ Would not vote with 6%; “Someone else” with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
^ John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ “Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024” with 21%
^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Would not vote with 5%; “Someone else” with 3%; Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
^ Ivanka Trump with 2%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with 1%
^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
^ John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; “Someone else”, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ “Someone else” with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ “Someone else” with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ No voters
^ “Someone else” with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ “Someone else” with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ No voters
^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and “Someone else” with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
^ “Someone else” with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
^ No voters
^ No voters
^ Kristi Noem and “Someone else” with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
^ Greg Abbott with 2%; “Someone else,” Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
^ “Other” with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
^ “Someone else” with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and “Someone else” with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and “Someone else” with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[74]
^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
^ “Someone else” with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsay Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
^ Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
^ “Would vote for anyone other than Trump” with 14%; would not vote with 4%
^ Jump up to: a b If Donald Trump did not run
^ “Would vote for anyone other than Trump” with 9%; would not vote with 2%
^ “Would consider voting for Trump” with 20%; Undecided with 6%
References
^ “Election Planning Calendar” (PDF). essex-virginia.org. Essex County, Virginia. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 7, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
^ Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). “Biden: ‘My plan is to run for reelection’ in 2024”. Politico. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
^ “US Election guide: how does the election work?”. The Daily Telegraph. November 6, 2012. Archived from the original on November 10, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
^ McArdle, Megan (May 21, 2015). “2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024?”. Bloomberg. Archived from the original on October 23, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
^ Janda, Kenneth (2013). The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics. Wadsworth. p. 218. ISBN 978-1133602309.
^ Neale, Thomas (2012). The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections (PDF). Congressional Research Service. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
^ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). “Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections”. The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45–63. doi:10.2307/1957083. JSTOR 1957083.
^ Jacobson, Louis (November 10, 2020). “Biden’s Coattails Didn’t Extend to State Legislatures”. U.S. News & World Report.
^ Jump up to: a b Levine, Sam; Chang, Alvin (December 15, 2020). “As Biden won the presidency, Republicans cemented their grip on power for the next decade”. The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
^ Sarlin, Benjy (August 26, 2014). “Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020”. MSNBC. Archived from the original on October 28, 2015.
^ Daley, David (October 15, 2020). “Inside the Republican Plot for Permanent Minority Rule”. The New Republic. Archived from the original on October 18, 2020. Retrieved October 18, 2020.
^ “Daily Updates of Totals by Week and State”. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Retrieved June 22, 2021.
^ Siders, David (April 2, 2020). “How the coronavirus is shaping the 2024 presidential race”. Politico. Archived from the original on June 11, 2020. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
^ Jump up to: a b Nicholas, Peter (August 5, 2021). “Will Kamala Harris Run in 2024?”. The Atlantic. Retrieved September 6, 2021.
^ “Why the 2024 presidential race will start later than expected”. Roll Call. September 16, 2021.
^ “Joe Biden may not be running for reelection — yet. He’s certainly running for history”. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. August 26, 2021.
^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (June 8, 2021). “What Is Pete Buttigieg Doing?”. The Atlantic. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
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en.wikipedia.org /wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election
2024 United States presidential election
Contributors to Wikimedia projects35-45 minutes 10/18/2015
DOI: 10.2307/1957083, Show Details
2024 United States presidential election
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
ElectoralCollege2024.svg
About this image
The electoral map for the 2024 election, based on populations from the 2020 census
Incumbent President
Joe Biden
Democratic
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*👨🔬🕵️♀️🙇♀️*SKETCHES*🙇♂️👩🔬🕵️♂️*
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